Learning Early What Works

"The worst enemy of strategist is the clock. Time trouble ...reduces us all to pure reflex and reaction, tactical play. Emotion and instinct cloud our strategic vision when there is no time for proper evaluation."

Garry Kasparov

Evaluation
  • Build monitoring, evaluation, and learning systems

  • Evaluating Human Capital Investment

  • Conduct various types of evaluation for programs/ projects

  • Evaluability assessments

  • Leading evaluation teams for complex assignments

Data Analytics
  • Process data from dirty to clean

  • Analyze data to answer questions

  • Sharing data through visualization

  • Asking questions to make data driven decisions

Capacity Development
  • Planning with evaluation in mind (results-based management)

  • Human capital investment planning

  • Virtual training courses

  • Face-to-face training courses

  • Coaching during implementation

  • Designing and implementing surveys and interviews

Translation
  • General translation

  • Translation for data collection instruments

  • Translation for reporting

Research
  • Field data collection

  • Empirical research

  • Needs assessment

  • Labor market analysis, sector analysis

  • Computer-supported analysis of complex systems

XYZ

The services described here are examples and they can be combined in any form. The list is also not exhaustive. If you have something specific in mind, feel free to talk to us.

  • We work to United Nations Evaluation Group (UNEG) standards and are experienced in incorporating any other standards our clients adhere to into our assignments.

  • Our committment fully aligns with the professional code of conduct of the International Association for Impact Assessment (IAIA).

Reviewing functions of a dash board for use by end users to improve energy efficiency.
Reviewing functions of a dash board for use by end users to improve energy efficiency.
Facilitating group thinking using card technique (rearranging output of a brain storm).
Facilitating group thinking using card technique (rearranging output of a brain storm).
Computer-supported analysis of roles of system elements to determine best intervention options.
Computer-supported analysis of roles of system elements to determine best intervention options.

Do we do AI ?

Artificial intelligence (AI) is increasingly penetrating many human activities, including evaluation and impact assessments.
Evaluators use a whole range of tools in order to evaluate the feasibility, the status, or the progress of a project, a program, a strategy, or even the implementation of a policy. This involves processing "tons of" information that comes in all sorts of different formats: documents of different kinds, scientific literature, interview transcripts based on different interviewing techniques, translated texts, intercultural communications, workshop discussions and reports, surveys of different quality, monitoring databases, analysis of systems,, and so on. So how tempting would it not be to just have our ICT devices draw on artificial intelligence to chew through and digest all of this material, organize it for us, double check it against all of the clutter available in the internet of thoughts, and churn out a draft report that we only need to corroborate in the field, or merely sign off and collect our fees.
Or does this just seem too good to be true?

[Data center image by Yamu_Jay via Pixabay.]
[Data center image by Yamu_Jay via Pixabay.]

Protean Consulting's Summary View of the Use of AI in Evaluations

Important things to know about AI (that very few people seem to notice)
  1. AI is a fast evolving technology with both upsides and downsides, the reliability of which is unclear. Evaluators and impact assessors should adhere to scientific standards which currently approve AI usage only for refinement of language used. Evaluators and impact assessors may resort to current text editing tools as an alternative to AI.

  2. Only private AI can provide a meaningful assurance of confidentiality. Any use of open AI tools via the internet implies a breach of confidentiality that cannot be prevented.

  1. Private AI requires significant upfront investment (hardware such as GPU, not only the users’ devices), including extensive (i.e. energy and time intensive) training of the respective models before they can be used for the specific evaluation or impact assessment.

  1. Should the client of the evaluation or impact assessment offer the use of its own private AI systems, caution is warranted because the AI systems of the client are bound to be trained in line with client preferences and needs. Consideration of any AI generated content by client systems is to be taken with the appropriate grain of salt. Any confidential data collected during an evaluation or impact assessment must not be transferred to the clients’ systems.

  1. AI data is not the information evaluators and impact assessors evaluate and assess. It is project data and information that is being evaluated and assessed.

Important things to do when dealing with AI in evaluations and impact assessments
  1. Give time to the involved stakeholders to individually think about the usability and implications of the use of AI in the evaluation or impact assessment.

  2. Organize a process by which the merits of any potential AI tools can be jointly assessed, discussed, and agreed upon by all involved stakeholders (e.g. workshop).

  3. Document the results of the stakeholder workshop and ensure that the documentation is approved by all of the stakeholders (i.e. formally required confirmations) and distribute the final document to all stakeholders.

  4. Be prepared to review and revise the agreement reached during implementation if any concerns relating to the ethical use, the quality of results, or any other important (possibly unintended) results of the tools in usage are being raised.

  5. Adjust your evaluation or impact assessment implementation plan in line with the outcome of step 4 even if it delays the process because credibility of the evaluation or impact assessment overrides all other concerns.

Like any other potential tool, AI must be assessed based on its capabilities and merits as well as on its disabilities and shortcomings. It does not enjoy any privileged status in comparison with other tools, many of which have proven their merit and have a time tested record of successful applications.